German Chancellor Olaf Scholz visited China on November 4, accompanied by the heads of leading German companies, and met with President Xi Jinping. Germany holds the G7 presidency for 2022, and Scholz's arrival in Beijing was in the midst of the G7 foreign ministers' meeting in Münster at northwest Germany. For the past 20 years , China has fueled the growing threat against the West , and since 2014 Russia has been added to the list of threats. Germany , the leader of the European Union (EU), distanced itself from the US-led policy of containing China and Russia, and showed the world its stance of reconciling with Russia's new Eurasianism and China's One Belt, One Road and New Silk Road initiatives. It is promoting the acceleration of the hollowing out of the G7 led by the United States and the expansion of New Eurasianism led by China and Russia.
<Note: This article is a continuation of the March 14, 2022 article, "Germany Seen as Enemies, Japan is an Outsider of the U.S. Shogunate: The Ukraine Crisis and the United States, Germany, and Japan">
■ Germany and the EU bear the burden
The economic sanctions imposed by Western countries following Russia's invasion of Ukraine have not brought about the "turmoil in the Russian economy" that was initially expected. Conversely, the German economy has been hit hard as it is forced to move away from its reliance on Russian natural gas . The German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) said the negative impact will continue for years to come, cutting growth by 3 percentage points this year. "We were expecting 4.5% growth this year at the start of the year, but it's probably around 1.5%," said DIW Director Marcel Frascher. " The impact of the invasion could last until 2025." He expressed his view.
Under such circumstances, the natural gas pipeline "Nord Stream" , which connects Russia and Germany and can supply 110 billion cubic meters of gas, which is equivalent to 26 million households, was destroyed by someone. Support continues to decline. The United States and Britain repeat Russia's "false flag operation", and Russia repeats sabotage and accusations against Ukraine (involving the United States and Britain). The Ukrainian war has taken its toll on Germany and other EU member states, and the U.S. energy industry is booming like never before in exporting fuel to the EU to replace Russian production.
■ Denial of decoupling from China
That is why Chancellor Scholz, during his meeting with President Xi Jinping in Beijing, stressed the need to "continue cooperation with China, our largest trading partner," as Germany's domestic economy faces inflation and recession risks. I was told. The German business delegation that accompanied him consisted of 12 CEOs from Volkswagen, BMW, Siemens, Adidas, Bayer, Deutsche Bank and others.
" Prime Minister Scholz has made it clear that he opposes decoupling with China ," the Xinhua News Agency said . We must not do so. We must develop trade with many countries, including China, and emerging countries in Asia, Africa, Latin America," he said. If this report is accurate, this is a declaration that Germany and the EU will distance themselves from the US-UK containment of China and Russia.
Already in the last decade, Germany has become, like Russia, a thorn in the eye of the United States and Great Britain. Poland is the only EU member state that aligns with the US.
There is an abusive word by a high-ranking US government official that symbolically expresses US hostility towards Germany and the EU .
During the February 2014 coup that ousted Ukrainian President Yanukovych, then Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland, who was in charge of the coup on the ground, had a phone call with U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Geoffrey Pyatt to oust Yanukovych . He was talking about the appointment of cabinet ministers for the "next administration" later . The conversation was wiretapped, and Nuland said, "Fuck the EU," thinking of Germany, the leader of the EU, who wanted to discuss and resolve the situation .
■ Eyes on Germany, a defeated country
Since the first G5 summit (U.S., Great Britain, France, West Germany, and Japan) in 1975, the U.S. has invited Germany and Japan to participate because the defeated nations have achieved astounding recovery, and the victorious nations of Europe and the United States have made great strides. This is because it was becoming an economic threat to This was to control Germany and Japan under the so-called post-war international order and rules created by the United States and Britain , and to curb their rise and threat. Nevertheless, the Japanese government and media have portrayed the G5 participation as a reenactment of the joining of the five powers at the post-World War I Versailles Peace Conference. It was a big information operation.
Japan, which became a threat again in the 1980s due to its post-war economic recovery, suffered a major decline in the 30 years after the collapse of the bubble economy due to the careful strategy of the United States . The next target for the United States and Britain was Germany, the same defeated country that became the leader of the EU. Emmanuel Todd wrote in 2015:
“Zbigniew Brzezinski, the leading theorist of Eurasian domination, was so preoccupied with Russia that he overlooked the rise of Germany. By extending to the coast, Poland, and the former communist countries, he provided Germany with a whole empire, a "German Reich" that was primarily economic at first, but today it is already political. "Germany is beginning to make contact with another global export giant, China." "NATO's expansion into Eastern Europe could end up realizing version B of Brzezinski's nightmare ." Yes, the reunification of the Eurasian continent without dependence on the United States . ”
<Note: See related articles, such as the March 3 article, “Putin’s Brzezinski Plan: The Ukraine Crisis and the U.S. Conquest of Eurasia.”>
The history of Germany incorporated into Russia
Any foreigner who has stayed in Germany for a certain period of time should be keenly aware of the depth of historical ties between Germany and Russia. Marriage relations between the royal families, the Eastern immigration policy toward Russia promoted by the male Prussia of the German territory state. German settlements spread from today's Russian enclave of Kaliningrad (formerly Teutonic Königsberg) to the three Baltic states and the Volga coast as far away as possible. The first foreign language of the generation born by the end of World War II was overwhelmingly Russian. Although Russia has continued to be hostile to Germany, they know each other well and have a deep relationship.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's German-language speech in Berlin shortly after taking office and his harsh criticism of the United States at the 2007 Munich Security Conference have been criticized in the United States and Britain . However, in Germany, it is generally handed down as a famous speech. Merkel's closeness to Putin is too famous. Olaf Scholz, leader of Germany's orthodox socialist party, the Social Democratic Party (SPD), cannot simply give in to American-British neoliberalism.
The US-British VS Eurasia battle
The US war with Russia, on behalf of Ukraine, is simultaneously driving the economies of Germany and Europe into decline.
Japanese economist Kazuhide Uekusa put it succinctly and precisely in his Nov. 8 blog:
“ The identity of the dark cloud covering the current global economy is “Biden stagflation”. Stagflation is the simultaneous progression of price increases = inflation and economic downturn = stagnation. Stagflation is an economic phenomenon affecting the global economy. The war in Ukraine was the main cause of stagflation.
The Ukraine war was an avoidable event. A civil war broke out in the Donbass region of eastern Ukraine. In order to end this civil war, Ukraine and Russia, Donetsk and Lugansk regions, as well as France and Germany were involved in the "Minsk Accords".
The conflict was settled by granting a high degree of autonomy to the Donetsk and Lugansk regions. If the Ukrainian government faithfully implemented this agreement, the problem would be solved. However, the Ukrainian government has trampled on the Minsk agreements.
It is the Biden administration that induced Ukraine's betrayal behind the scenes. It can be said that President Biden caused Ukraine to unilaterally abandon the Minsk Agreement and induced Russian military action . ”
Under these circumstances, the German government has begun to expand the New Eurasia concept, which includes Germany and continental Europe in addition to Russia and China.
The Yuxinou Railway was the forerunner of Germany's entry into New Eurasianism led by China and Russia. The route from Chongqing goes through Kazakhstan , Russia , Belarus and Poland , while the route from Xuzhou goes through Mongolia , Russia, Belarus and Poland to Duisburg .
In 2011, a long-distance freight train was set up between Chongqing, China and Duisburg, Germany . Chongqing is an inland city in China, with more than 1,500 km to the coastal port, which was a hindrance to the development of the export industry . Shortened shipping time (more than 20 days compared to marine transportation) and reduced costs.In 2020, a freight train departing from and arriving at Xuzhou will also be set up, and more than 10,000 trains of the 46TEU freight container train " Central Europe Train" will be operated annually.
Germany will join the North-South Transport Corridor currently under construction, which will connect St. Petersburg, Russia by rail, road, and ship from Mumbai, India, via Iran and Azerbaijan, avoiding the Suez Canal and the Northern Sea Route linking Europe, Russia and China. Whether or not to enter the market will be a major focus in the future.
On the occasion of the German Chancellor's visit to China, the Russian news outlet RT reported, "It is unlikely that Chancellor Scholz will have the guts to resist pressure from the United States just because he visited China." This assessment may be too pessimistic.