■ The origins and history of Russophobia

The US and UK power centers, with the multinational giant capital at their core leading the deep state or globalist forces, have made careful preparations for nearly 10 years to get Putin's Russian government to launch a special military operation in Ukraine, and have bombarded it with criticism that it is a "unilateral attempt to change the status quo by force , a military invasion." The slogan "We will not tolerate a unilateral attempt to change the status quo by force " has spread from Ukraine, Russia, NATO, and the EU in the west to the South China Sea, East China Sea, Taiwan, and Senkaku Islands in the east. Like the process leading up to the Ukraine war, this crisis scenario of "a Taiwan emergency is a Japan emergency" was formulated over nearly 30 years since the end of the Cold War .

Following Russia's military invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 , influential members of Japan's ruling party immediately jumped to the forefront of information manipulation, instilling Russophobia in Japanese people that "Japan will become the Ukraine of the East."

Former Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera, who was then chairman of the LDP's National Security Research Council, appeared on a commercial TV news program and warned, "This issue will definitely affect Japan. If we do not take the stance of protecting our own country by ourselves, Japan will end up like Ukraine." On behalf of the Japan-US security village, he said, "Japan is the only G7 country where Russia is using force to change the status quo. It's the Northern Territories. Therefore, it is Japan that needs to criticize Russia the most on the Ukraine issue. " "The Sea of ​​Okhotsk is deep, and they have nuclear submarines hiding there. The area around the Kuril Islands is also a main battlefield between the US and Russia. We should not expect the Northern Territories to be returned through negotiations, but rather Japan needs to take a strong stance on the Ukraine issue ."

Yoji Koda , the 36th Commander of the Self-Defense Fleet ( former admiral ), backed up this , saying, "If the Ukraine crisis escalates, the United States and Russia will be on the brink of a showdown even in the waters off Japan ." Furthermore, a member of the House of Councilors who is a member of the Liberal Democratic Party's Security Research Council and National Defense Division, gave a final blow to the idea on his YouTube channel, saying, "There is a possibility that Russia will set up a nuclear missile base on Etorofu Island."

The situation is changing dramatically with the return of the Trump administration, but the military tensions in Ukraine have been a perfect tailwind for the Liberal Democratic Party government, which is following orders from Washington to increase defense spending and expand its military, and is ready to move toward exercising the right of collective self-defense with U.S. forces in the East China Sea.

With the launch of Trump's second administration in January 2025, comments from key figures in the LDP became muted for a while. Amid this, former Minister of Economy and Security Takaichi Sanae appeared on a commercial television program in Kansai at the end of March and commented on the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine announced by the United States. She spoke sharply about her deep-rooted distrust of Russia. The following words could be said to be a typical view of Russia from a postwar Japanese conservative politician.

"If it becomes a fact that borders can be moved by force and everyone accepts that, then it could become a problem for Japan," he commented. He continued, " Historically, I think Russia is a country that never keeps international agreements. The Treaty of Shimonoseki (the Sino-Japanese Peace Treaty) during the Meiji era was also cancelled. The Liaodong Peninsula that was acquired during the Sino-Japanese War was returned to China, and then Russia borrowed it. During the last war, they also broke the Japan-Soviet Neutrality Pact... Japan has suffered so much that it can hardly be trusted."

The origin of Japan's Russian phobia can be found in the Mito Domain at the end of the Edo period, which was the base of the Mito School of Liberal Arts, which established the idea of ​​revering the Emperor and expelling the barbarians . The second lord of the domain, Mito Mitsukuni (1628-1701), built the Kaifu-maru, one of the three largest ships (large vessels) of the Edo period, in the late 17th century and explored Ezochi , and since the mid-18th century, 250 years ago, the Mito Domain has prided itself on being a "fortress against Russia's advance south." He had his retainers accompany explorers Kondo Juzo and Mogami Tokunai, who were also vassals of the Shogunate, to erect a signpost reading "Great Japan Etorofu" ( photo ) on Etorofu Island. The ninth lord of the domain, Nariaki (1800-1860), who supported the later Mito School of Liberal Arts, applied to the Shogunate to receive Ezochi, and personally sought to guard and manage the north. He even announced a proposal to define a northern border and name the country "Hokkaido."

Russia was the original barbarian country that attempted to invade Japan, which Late Mito Scholars such as Aizawa Masashisai claim is "the source of the rising sun ruled by an unparalleled line of emperors that is unparalleled in the world." Britain and America became targets of the expulsion of foreigners after the First Opium War in 1840 and the arrival of Commodore Perry in 1853. Since the end of the Edo period, friction with Russia has only deepened through the Khvostov incident, the Golovnin incident, the Tsushima occupation incident, the Triple Intervention, the Russo-Japanese War, the Nikkei Incident, the Nomonhan Incident, Japan's entry into the war against Japan, the Mifune martyrdom incident , the Kakkonbyo incident , Siberian internment, and the Northern Territories .

Takaichi stressed that "Japan has suffered so much that Russia is almost unreliable." However, it is also necessary to consider that Japan's full-scale invasion of the continent after the Sino-Japanese War provoked friction with Russia. After hearing of Perry's arrival in 1854, Putyatin , who led the Russian Far East Fleet to negotiate the Treaty of Peace and Amity between Japan and Russia , took a "gentlemanly" attitude. He entered Nagasaki as the shogunate had decreed. He patiently waited for the arrival of the negotiating team from Edo. This is in contrast to Perry's fleet, which anchored at the entrance to Edo Bay, sent a white flag to the shogunate, and then sailed threateningly less than two kilometers offshore, where it was possible to bombard Edo Castle. Putyatin also took into consideration the "Great Japan, Etorofu" signpost, and set the border between Japan and Russia in the Kuril Islands between Etorofu Island and Urup Island . Takaichi's angry statement that "Russia is a country that never keeps international agreements" is by no means accurate. Hatred prevails.

For the Japanese at the end of the Edo period, "Russia from the north, Britain from the south, and America from the east" were all absolute threats, and all were completely untrustworthy barbarian countries. However, according to a 2023 Cabinet Office opinion poll, the percentage of people who answered "I feel close to Russia" had fallen to 5%, the lowest since the survey began in 1978. The reason why conservative politicians in postwar Japan could not openly say that "the United States and Britain cannot be trusted at all" is that Japan has been subordinate to Britain since the Meiji Restoration in 1867, and has been subordinate to the United States since its defeat in 1945, and is managed by the United States and Britain. Takaichi shows no signs of opposing the Trump administration.

■ Taiwan/Senkaku emergency staging and its history

China's invasion of Taiwan, the so-called Taiwan emergency, was also "crafted and staged" by the US military-industrial complex and the Pentagon. It is well known that Lee Teng-hui, who served as Taiwan's president and Kuomintang chairman from 1988 to 2000, strongly provoked China by clearly calling for Taiwan's independence, which led to the Taiwan Strait Missile Crisis in 1996. With Lee Teng-hui supported by the US political and business circles, government relations with Taiwan, which had been severed with the normalization of US-China relations in 1979, were virtually restored, and China, overwhelmed by the US naval power that intervened in the Taiwan Strait Crisis in 1996, rapidly accelerated its military expansion. A symbol of this was the success of the 2007 satellite destruction test using a ballistic missile (photo). The US, claiming that China had succeeded in developing an anti-satellite weapon aimed at the US military, maximized the threat of China, advocated Taiwan's democratization and independence, and fully supported the Democratic Progressive Party government that was established in 2000. It was pointed out that Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party was integrated with the National Endowment for Democracy (NED).

It can be said that the crisis over the Senkaku Islands, over which Taiwan also claims sovereignty, was a way to drag Japan into a Taiwan emergency. The issue of sovereignty over the Senkaku Islands, which was supposed to have been "put on hold " when the Treaty of Peace and Friendship between Japan and the People's Republic of China was concluded in 1978, became increasingly tense as cross-strait relations deteriorated. As the accusations between Japan and China reached their peak, a collision incident occurred in September 2010 between a Chinese fishing boat and a Japan Coast Guard patrol boat. The following October, Maehara, then Foreign Minister of the Democratic Party government , stated at the House of Representatives Security Committee that the "1978 temporary shelving" agreement was "the unilateral words of (then Chinese supreme leader) Deng Xiaoping. There is no fact that Japan agreed to it." In this way, the room for dialogue between Japan and China was erased, and soon the top of the Liberal Democratic Party made bellicose statements such as "A Taiwan emergency is a Japan emergency" and "Be prepared to fight," creating an atmosphere on the eve of war in Okinawa and the Nansei Islands.

Seiji Maehara is one of the conservative Japanese politicians who are allied with the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the Washington-based command center for Japan, which has presented the Japanese government with six recommendations on Japan ( the Armitage Report) until 2024. CSIS executives such as Richard Armitage, Joseph Nye, and Michael Green have been called Japan handlers. CSIS has seconded politicians and young bureaucrats, including Shinjiro Koizumi , and has accepted officials from the Ministry of Defense , Public Security Intelligence Agency , Cabinet Secretariat , Cabinet Intelligence and Research Office , Japan External Trade Organization , and NTT as visiting researchers. In 2011, CSIS launched a virtual think tank in collaboration with the Nikkei Shimbun, with Maehara as the only advisor from the political world to the Japanese side. Maehara is the son of a US Japan handler. The extremely provocative statement against China, "there is no fact that an agreement was made to shelve the issue," must be interpreted as following instructions from CSIS.

■ The Taiwan-Senkaku Crisis and Modern China's Maritime Expansion

The second Abe administration was launched in December 2012. As if anticipating Abe Shinzo's return as prime minister, the Third Armitage Report was sent to Japan in August of the same year. The report called for Japan to take the plunge and exercise its prohibited right of collective self-defense in order to eliminate the imbalance between the United States' willingness to defend Japan with military force and Japan's inability to use force to help the United States. The Abe administration pushed through fierce public opposition , ignoring Article 9 of the Constitution, which pledges not to wage war, and passed a cabinet decision in 2014 to allow the exercise of the right of collective self-defense. The following year, it forced through new security legislation. The request from the United States was essentially an absolute command, and the peace constitution that had supported the foundations of postwar Japanese society was quickly rendered meaningless.

After the new security regime was established, Abe himself said in a meeting with reporters at the Prime Minister's Office that "collective self-defense and the new security legislation are aimed at China," and so the US plan is for a Taiwan/Senkaku emergency to take the form of a de facto proxy war between the US and China. The Self-Defense Forces and the Taiwanese military will be the ones fighting on the ground, while the US military will basically only command them from the rear. In order to make so-called offshore wars possible for the US military, the Obama administration (at the time) allowed Japan to exercise the right of collective self-defense. The US military will take on the command function, while the Self-Defense Forces will carry out the actual operations. This is the exercise of the right of collective self-defense by Japan and the US in the East China Sea. Japan is being turned into "the Ukraine of the East facing China" in place of Russia .

However, in China, domestic political struggles have become far more important than gaining hegemony through external aggression, and the possibility of an invasion of Taiwan or the Senkaku Islands is highly unlikely. When we gather the voices of common-sense and calm experts, including China watchers , we can cite three main reasons.

First, looking at China's history, there are almost no instances of external aggression, apart from the invasions of neighboring regions such as Korea, Vietnam and Myanmar by Kublai Khan of the Yuan Dynasty, who turned the Mongol Empire into the Chinese Empire. Other than the great voyages of Zheng He (pictured), who reached the Middle East and Africa during the reign of Emperor Yongle of the Ming Dynasty, there have been no instances of maritime aggression. Many researchers say that there are similarities between the aims of the Chinese Communist Party's "maritime expansion" policy after the Reform and Opening Up and the "maritime expeditions" of Emperor Yongle of the Ming Dynasty. The following are some representative opinions:

"Zheng He flaunted his large fleet of nearly 30,000 soldiers and vast treasures, and without much fighting, made the 30 or so countries he visited vassals of the Ming Dynasty, so to speak, behind the scenes . On the other hand, the Xi Jinping administration also hopes to resolve the maritime sovereignty issue "peacefully," so to speak, without resorting to war, through military pressure, such as by militarizing the South China Sea , and inducing economic benefits through the construction of the " 21st Century Maritime Silk Road ," and furthermore to have neighboring countries recognize China's regional hegemony."

Next , there is the current environment in which the Chinese Communist Party leadership finds itself. President Xi Jinping has not been able to secure the autocratic power to control 1.4 billion people, let alone the Communist Party. When he officially becomes president for a third consecutive term in 2023, and he intentionally places only his loyal aides in the China Seven (the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Party) , Western media unanimously criticized him for consolidating his dictatorial regime. However, the three-way factional struggle and power struggle within the Communist Party between the Xi Jinping faction, the Hu Jintao faction, and the late Jiang Zemin faction is intense, and the Xi faction can never be said to be absolutely stable. In such an environment in Zhongnanhai , the risk of invading Taiwan is too great. The appropriate course of action would be to suppress the Taiwan independence faction that is allied with the United States and support the establishment of a moderate government that accepts the one country, two systems system.

Finally, there are diplomatic and economic issues facing China. With Trump back in power, the US-China economic war is in an even tougher phase, with high tariffs and other issues. In order to contain China's ambitions for overseas hegemony, the US is launching a fierce offensive to sharply reduce China's GDP. If the Ukraine war is brought to a peace agreement, the Trump administration will likely devote all its energy to attacking the Chinese economy. In this situation, there is no room for military invasion.

The invasion of Taiwan is merely a diplomatic spat, and is unthinkable as a realistic issue. Japan should be forced to shoulder not only 3% of its GDP but 5% of its military expenditures, and the military-industrial complex should be enriched by expanding its military with huge amounts of the latest weapons. To that end, it is the duty of politicians known as warmongers to create a war-ready mood, saying things like "China will invade any day now" and "be prepared to fight." The aim of the warmongers is to brainwash readers and viewers through the media.

■ 1,400 years of imprinting

The Japanese people's rivalry towards the Chinese changed to a feeling of superiority after their victory in the Sino-Japanese War at the end of the 19th century. During the subsequent invasion of China, slogans such as "punish the tyrannical Chinese " and "punish China" became popular, and the arrogant Japanese despised the Chinese, calling them Shinajin and calling Japanese soldiers who fought on the Chinese front "Chankoro." After Japan's defeat in 1945, such derogatory terms gradually disappeared from the surface of society.

The imperial consciousness and hostility towards China that is ingrained in the Japanese people dates back to the defeat of the ancient Wakoku by the Tang army at Baekgang River 1,400 years ago . The key phrase is "a small empire of the Eastern barbarians." Japan and Wakoku are considered to be a small empire that ruled over foreign countries, lower than the Chinese Empire but higher than the Korean nations. At first glance, this seems like an absurd claim, but for example, the recognition that Baekje, Gaya, and Silla were made "subjects" from the end of the 4th century to the beginning of the 5th century, and the fact that the rulers of Wakoku were granted military command over the southern part of the Korean Peninsula by the Chinese (Sung) emperor in the 5th century were deeply etched in their memory - these had a major impact on later generations.

In the mid-seventh century (660), the Tang Empire allied with Silla and destroyed Baekje, an ally of Wakoku. Wakoku sent reinforcements to restore Baekje, but was defeated by the Tang forces at the Battle of Baekgang in 663. It was shut out of the Asian mainland and isolated under the sea. The Wa people came together to create Japan, the first unified kingdom in the Japanese archipelago. The compilation of the national history "Nihon Shoki" in 720 was done to assert a unique identity in opposition to China. It was completed in . "The Japan depicted in the "Nihon Shoki" was based on a kind of Sinocentrism, and was a nation that was in opposition to China and had inherited its own unique orthodoxy from heaven, so China and Japan could not coexist, and this determined the character of Japan for a long time."

Since the Meiji Restoration, Japan, ruled by an unbroken line of emperors, has been defined as " another empire competing with the Chinese Empire over sovereignty over the Korean Peninsula . " The Imperial History View that emerged from Mitogaku can be described as an ultra-Sinocentric view, and Imperial Japan's rule extended beyond Korea to Manchuria, China, and Southeast Asia. For the United States and Britain, the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere was seen as a step toward their ambitions of world domination. The occupation of Japan after the defeat was carried out with the goal of never again posing a threat to Japan.

Subjugation to the United States is the harsh outcome of "opening the country for the purpose of expelling foreigners (war against Britain and the United States)." Making today's Japan face off against China and Russia is a modern version of the policy to weaken Japan, which was at the core of the GHQ occupation policy, "to never again pose a threat to Japan."

■Finally

The most abhorrent recent article is the following. It seems that Trump's attendance at the hated Russian Victory Day on May 9th at the invitation of Putin was perceived as a "nightmare." With even Xi Jinping and Kim Jong-un falling in line with the "crazy" Trump, it is not a historic turning point in world history, but rather the "end of the world."